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Joby stock price prediction 2030: what it would take

Joby Aviation wants to fly electric air taxis. Here’s what the stock could be worth by 2030, depending on how that goes.

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TL;DR

  • Our 2030 scenarios: about $1 a share if air taxis stay niche, about $9 if Joby builds a solid business, and about $37 if it becomes a major airline-style operator.
  • Joby is in the fifth and final stage of FAA certification and plans US passenger service in 2027. It lost $212 million in the third quarter.
  • 11 analysts rate it a Hold on average, with a 12-month target of about $10, ranging from $4 to $18. The stock trades near $5.30.
  • LemonTrades tells you what moved Joby, and why, as it happens, and warns you before its earnings.

Nobody knows where any stock will be in 2030, least of all one with a product that isn’t flying passengers yet. Here’s the math.

Scenario for 2030Share priceNeeded a year from today
Todaylive$––
Bear$400 million revenue, 4 times sales$1.20–
Base$2 billion revenue, 6 times sales$9–
Bull$6 billion revenue, 8 times sales$37–
Analysts’ average target12 months$10.01–

Live, updated every minute. Scenarios are our illustrations, not forecasts, assuming about 1.3 billion shares by 2030, up from 989 million, as Joby raises more money.

Where Joby stands

  • Third quarter 2026: revenue of $55 million, mostly from Blade, the helicopter service it bought; a net loss of $212 million.
  • Forecast: it raised its 2026 revenue outlook by 15%; analysts expect about $121 million this year and $215 million next year.
  • FAA: in the final stage of type certification, with the last flight tests expected to start in the first half of 2027.
  • Launch: commercial flights planned in 2027 in Florida, Texas and New York under a White House-backed pilot program, and test flights with pilots across its Dubai sites later in 2026.

What the bull case needs

$6 billion of revenue would mean thousands of aircraft flying many short trips a day in dozens of cities. That depends on certification, building aircraft at scale, cheap enough fares and local approvals for landing sites, all at once.

The risks

  • Certification delays, which have already pushed timelines out before.
  • More share sales to fund losses.
  • Competition from Archer and others.
  • Safety: one serious accident could set the whole industry back.

Compare the approach with Rivian’s 2030 scenarios and SoundHound’s. Before buying, see how to evaluate investment risks.

Sources

Education, not financial advice. These are illustrations, not forecasts. See our disclaimer.

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