TL;DR
- Micron’s revenue more than tripled to a record $133 billion in fiscal 2026, as AI servers soaked up memory, and it guided to $61.5 billion for one quarter.
- Memory is a boom-and-bust business. Our 2030 scenarios: about $400 a share if the cycle turns down, about $880 if it levels off, about $1,550 if the boom lasts.
- Analysts’ average 12-month target is about $1,555 to $1,580; Citi is at $1,150, and Cantor Fitzgerald and Susquehanna at $2,000.
- LemonTrades tells you what moved Micron and the chip stocks you follow, and why, as it happens.
Micron makes the memory chips every AI server needs, and the shortage has made it one of 2026’s biggest stocks. The question for 2030 is how long that lasts.
Where Micron is now
- Fiscal 2026 (to September 3): revenue of $133.2 billion, up 256%. The fourth quarter alone brought in $54.2 billion, up 379% from a year earlier.
- Guidance: $61.5 billion, plus or minus $1.5 billion, for the quarter to November. Micron expects supply to stay tight in 2027 and 2028.
- The stock: it set a record in June 2026 and fell back by about a quarter, as investors weighed its heavy spending on new factories.
- The dividend: $0.15 a share each quarter, raised in 2026.
Why memory stocks boom and bust
Memory chips are close to a commodity: when demand outruns supply, prices soar and profits explode; then makers build new factories, supply catches up, and prices crash. Micron lost money in 2023 after the last downturn, and its stock has fallen by half or more several times. The AI boom has added high-bandwidth memory (HBM), stacked chips that sit next to AI processors and earn much more than ordinary memory. The bull case is that AI keeps demand ahead of supply for years; the bear case is that the usual cycle returns once new factories open.
What to watch
- Memory prices for DRAM and HBM each quarter.
- AI spending by the big cloud companies, and Nvidia’s results. See the Nvidia stock chart.
- New supply from Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix.
- The next report, in December, for the quarter to November.
Other AI chip stories: AMD and OpenAI and why AI chip stocks plunge.
Sources
- Micron: record fiscal fourth quarter and full-year 2026 results
- 24/7 Wall St.: Micron’s analyst targets
- Parameter: analysts on Micron after its fiscal year
Education, not financial advice. These are illustrations, not forecasts. See our disclaimer.